Based on a True Story"No you're not," said little Nicola.
deanjens
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Name: Dean
Country: United States
State: New York
Metro: Brooklyn
Gender: Male


Interests: Math, physics, economics, contradancing, Sacred Harp singing, running
Expertise: Analysis


Message: message meEmail: email me


Member Since: 4/2/2004

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Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Does this thing still exist?

I got internet back at home today.  It had been gone for most of a week.  I went to the library yesterday afternoon to use the library's internet connection, and I did some internet from school on Monday.  It's nice to be able to internet in pajamas, though.


I've resolved the distribution of losing football scores from college football this season into a sum of Poisson distributions.  If you supposed that every second of the game was independent of every other second — doubtable, to be sure — then if, every 1000th of the game, a team scored 7 points with a probability of .00139, 3 points with probability of 0.00044, 6 points with a probability of 0.00036, etc. — i.e., a 1000th of the number of the corresponding point on the plot — then the team's final score would follow the distribution of losing scores in college football this past season.  If you're a real hard-core nerd, this might interest you.


Thursday, October 23, 2008


Saturday, September 20, 2008

W L games ahead
Rays 92616
Red Sox 90643.5
Yankees 8471-3
Blue Jays 8372-4
W L
White Sox 8568-1
Twins 8372-4
W L
Anaheim94598
W L
Mets 86672
Phillies 86681.5
Marlins 8172-3
W L
Cubs 93609
Brewers 8471-1
Astros 8172-3
Cardinals 8074-4.5
W L
Dodgers 8074-4.5
Diamondbacks 7677-8
The Cubs have clinched the division title.  Four more wins would guarantee them the best record in the National League; it's all but certain they'll host the loser of the NL East race in the first round of the playoffs.


Thursday, September 11, 2008

W L games ahead
Rays 87575
Red Sox 85602.5
Blue Jays 7867-4.5
Yankees 7769-6
W L
White Sox 8164-1.5
Twins 8065-2.5
W L
Anaheim88575.5
W L
Mets 82631.5
Phillies 7967-2
Marlins 7472-7
W L
Cubs 87586.5
Brewers 83632
Astros 7967-2
Cardinals 7867-2.5
W L
Dodgers 7571-6
Diamondbacks 7174-9.5
Rockies 6779-14

Anaheim has clinched.  The other divisions have at least a week to go.


Tuesday, September 09, 2008




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